TOTY Warm-Up Case Study
By Zinhja
A couple of days ago, I went all in 86s at ~6.7k.
I will explain why I did that and what you can still do in the following article.
![](https://www.levelledupgaming.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/01/image-1.png)
Reasoning and Timing
In the past, we always saw a good rise of 83-86 fodder cards from early Jan until mid Jan. The reasoning behind that is the ‘TOTY Warm Up’ that usually comes the week before TOTY with a lot of nice packs and SBCs like the 85+ x3 ATT/DEF/MID SBCs.
![](https://www.levelledupgaming.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/01/image-2.png)
Since a majority of the community is going to complete them, the demand for the needed fodder is very high and prices go up.
Examples from FIFA 23:
83s: 800 –> 1.5k
84s: 3k –> 5k
85s: 7k –> 13k
86s: 12k –> 18k
![](https://www.levelledupgaming.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/01/image-3.png)
More examples from FIFA 22:
83s: 1k –> 2.5k
84s: 2.2k –> 4.7k
85s: 5.2k –> 9.3k
86s: 10k –> 15k
![](https://www.levelledupgaming.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/01/image-4.png)
Of course rises like this are not guaranteed. Which ratings have the best rise always depends on the exact requirements which we don’t know before… I only went for 86s because I was lazy
But the trend should be clear 🙂
Can you still buy?
Prices already went up a bit in the last days, but TOTY Warm Up isn’t even here yet. Can’t imagine they don’t rise more with the SBCs on the horizon.
![](https://www.levelledupgaming.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/01/image-5.png)
Special Case – IFs
Last year, I didn’t like them that much but considering the fodder IF situation this year, I would also consider picking some IFs up at <33k. Risk should be as low as the 83+ x10 SBC that is here for the next week, and should, worst case scenario, keep prices stable.
![](https://www.levelledupgaming.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/01/image-6-1024x973.png)
This mainly covered what to pick up BEFORE TOTY. In the next few days, I will post another analysis about what to look for DURING TOTY.
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